Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.450934 0.500978 0.554928 0.617519 0.688267 0.765905 0.857758
2025-03-23 0.374186 0.443560 0.524058 0.624824 0.748223 0.895221 1.084787
2025-03-30 0.323782 0.400339 0.493556 0.616302 0.774983 0.974972 1.248908
2025-04-06 0.289269 0.369978 0.472149 0.612358 0.801909 1.052329 1.413331
2025-04-13 0.254500 0.334581 0.439227 0.587806 0.796282 1.082825 1.514234
2025-04-20 0.236972 0.319642 0.430933 0.594115 0.831345 1.170060 1.702006
2025-04-27 0.222407 0.307030 0.424066 0.600786 0.866218 1.258825 1.900293
2025-05-04 0.209402 0.295241 0.416920 0.605685 0.897909 1.344640 2.102270
2025-05-11 0.197115 0.283325 0.408318 0.607116 0.923629 1.422642 2.299239
2025-05-18 0.187749 0.274863 0.403922 0.614165 0.958111 1.516913 2.533061
2025-05-25 0.174301 0.259199 0.387317 0.600368 0.957182 1.552240 2.667607
2025-06-01 0.167210 0.252751 0.384354 0.607995 0.991958 1.650359 2.925228
2025-06-08 0.157291 0.241376 0.373075 0.601442 1.002742 1.709152 3.119866
2025-06-15 0.150622 0.234743 0.368938 0.606528 1.034221 1.807965 3.404099
2025-06-22 0.141985 0.224304 0.357762 0.598432 1.041047 1.861594 3.604439
2025-06-29 0.134900 0.215954 0.349458 0.594608 1.055110 1.929813 3.842818
2025-07-06 0.124879 0.202072 0.330858 0.570862 1.029581 1.918493 3.910234
2025-07-13 0.120734 0.197929 0.328745 0.576964 1.061579 2.024100 4.246558
2025-07-20 0.116933 0.194129 0.326945 0.583416 1.094665 2.134998 4.609695
2025-07-27 0.113119 0.190067 0.324384 0.588155 1.124593 2.242113 4.978726
2025-08-03 0.109061 0.185327 0.320278 0.589539 1.147652 2.336653 5.330637
2025-08-10 0.106028 0.182253 0.319014 0.596356 1.182557 2.460609 5.773476
2025-08-17 0.100454 0.174240 0.308079 0.583013 1.173216 2.483978 5.961716